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September 13, 2021

Tropical Outlook Today

Disturbance 1. Tropical Storm Nicholas is expected to impact portions of the Texas and Louisiana coasts through the middle of the week with heavy rainfall. Nicholas is forecast to approach the middle Texas coast as a strong tropical storm today and be near hurricane strength at landfall. 

Disturbance 2. An area of low pressure a couple of hundred miles north of the Bahamas could form into a tropical depression later this week while the system moves north-northwestward or northward across the western Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours is near 0% and formation chance through 5 days is at 50%. 

Disturbance 3. A tropical wave has emerged off the west coast of Africa and a tropical depression likely to form by late this week while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Formation chance through 48 hours is at 30% and formation chance through 5 days is at 80%. 



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