Tropical Outlook Today

Disturbance 1. The area of low pressure 150 miles south-southwest of Jamaica is expected form into a tropical depression or tropical storm later today or tonight. The system is expected to enter into the Gulf of Mexico Friday night and move toward the central or northwestern U.S. Gulf coast, potentially bringing dangerous impacts from storm surge, wind, and heavy rainfall to portions of the coasts of Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle by Sunday and Monday. Formation chance through 48 hours is at 90% and formation chance through 5 days is also at 90%. 

Disturbance 2. A trough of low pressure located over the central Atlantic about 600 miles east of Bermuda is likely to become a tropical depression late this week or this weekend while the system moves slowly eastward at 5 to 10 mph. Formation chance through 48 hours is at 40% and formation chance through 5 days is at 70%. 

Disturbance 3. A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands could become a tropical depression by the weekend while the system moves toward the west-northwest or northwest at 10 to 15 mph. Formation chance through 48 hours is at 40% and formation chance through 5 days is at 50%.