Tropical Outlook Today

Disturbance 1. A tropical wave over the south-central Caribbean is likely to develop into a tropical depression late this week or over the weekend while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean. It should move near or across the Yucatan on Saturday and into the western Gulf of Mexico by Sunday where conditions could be favorable for additional development to occur. Formation chance through 48 hours is at 40% and formation through 5 days is at 80%. 

Disturbance 2. A broad trough of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic about 800 miles southeast of Bermuda is likely to form into a tropical depression late this week or this weekend while the system turns eastward over the central Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours is at 30% and formation chance through 5 days is at 80%. 

Disturbance 3. A tropical wave over the far eastern tropical Atlantic may have some development over the next several days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Formation chance through 48 hours is at 20% and formation chance through 5 days is at 30%.