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August 24, 2021

Tropical Outlook Today

Disturbance 1. A tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean Sea is expected to develop into a low pressure system over the southwestern Caribbean Sea and then into a tropical depression late this week or this weekend. The system is forecast to be into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by Sunday. Formation chance through 48 hours is near 0% and formation chance through 5 days is at 60%. 

Disturbance 2. A broad trough of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic about 900 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Little development is not expected to develop the next day or two due while it moves northwestward at about 15 mph. A tropical depression could form by the end of the week while the system turns eastward over the central Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours is at 20% and formation chance through 5 days is at 60%. 

Disturbance 3. Another tropical wave over the far eastern tropical Atlantic located about 400 miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands may develop over the next several days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic.  Formation chance through 48 hours is at 20% and formation chance through 5 days is at 30%. 

Disturbance 4. Henri is basically "out of here"



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