Disturbance 1. Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity is decreasing this morning to the east of a small area of low pressure located more than 100 miles east-southeast of Barbados. Increasing upper-level winds are likely to prevent further development of this system during the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. Formation chance through 48 hours is at only 10% and formation chance through 5 days is also at 10%.
Disturbance 2. A strong tropical wave has emerged just off the coast of Africa this morning. A small tropical depression could form by early next week while this system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph across the tropical eastern and central Atlantic Ocean. Formation chance through 48 hours is at 20% and formation chance through 5 days is at 40%.