(Shown left to right below)
Disturbance 1. Hurricane Erin remains no threat to our area but does remain a threat to the east coast of the U.S. On the forecast track, the center of Erin will move over the western Atlantic between the U.S. east coast and Bermuda through early Friday, and then pass south of Atlantic Canada Friday and Saturday. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days. Erin is expected to become post-tropical on Saturday.
Disturbance 2. Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands has changed little over the past several hours. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend while it moves near or to the north of the northern Leeward Islands. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium..40 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Disturbance 3. Central Atlantic: A small area of low pressure is located about 1200 miles southwest of the Azores. Upper-level winds are only marginally conducive for development while the system moves slowly eastward over the next couple of days. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Disturbance 4. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99): A tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands shows some signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development over the next day or so while the system moves west-southwestward at around 15 mph, and a short-lived tropical depression could form. In a couple of days, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
No comments:
Post a Comment