Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. Hurricane Erin is no threat to our “neck of the woods” but will continue to threaten the east coasts of the U.S. through Saturday. Erin is currently located about 400 miles SSE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina moving NNW at 13 MPH with 100 MPH maximum sustained winds. On the forecast track, the center of Erin will move over the western Atlantic between the U.S. east coast and Bermuda today through early Friday, and then pass south of Atlantic Canada Friday and Saturday.

Disturbance 2. Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:  A tropical wave is located over the central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form late this week or over the weekend while it moves near or to the north of the northern Leeward Islands. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Disturbance 3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):  A tropical wave is located to the southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development over the next day or so while the system moves westward at around 15 mph and a short-lived tropical depression could form.  By the end of the week, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium..40 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.