Disturbance 1. Southwestern Gulf (AL98): A broad area of low pressure is located over the Bay of Campeche and is forecast to move west-northwestward across the southwestern Gulf during the next day or two, where environmental conditions are marginally conducive for further development. The system is expected to move inland over northeastern Mexico or southern Texas by late Friday, ending its chances of tropical cyclone formation. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Disturbance 2. Tropical Storm Erin is forecast to become a hurricane by Friday. Erin is located about 990 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands and moving west at 17 MPH with 50 MPH maximum sustained winds. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of Erin.
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