Disturbance 1. Tropical Storm Fernand is heading NNE over the open Atlantic and no threat to us. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. On the forecast track, Fernand should move well east of Bermuda and across the open waters of the subtropical North Atlantic. A weakening trend is expected by Tuesday.
Disturbance 2. East of the Windward Islands (AL99): A tropical wave located about 200 miles east of the Windward Islands does not appear to have a surface circulation. This system could still become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves quickly westward at about 20 to 25 mph, passing through the Windward and Leeward Islands later today and early Monday. The system is expected to reach the central Caribbean Sea on Tuesday, where conditions are forecast to become less favorable for additional development. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
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