Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. North-Central Gulf:  Development of a surface trough near the coast of Louisiana is not anticipated before it moves inland later today. The system will only bring locally heavy rainfall and could produce flash flooding across portions of the northern Gulf coast over the next day or so. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

Disturbance 2. Northwestern Atlantic:  A non-tropical area of low pressure is  located a few hundred miles southeast of Nova Scotia, Canada. Some limited tropical or subtropical development is possible over the next day or so as the low meanders near the relatively warm waters of the Gulf Stream.  The system is expected to move northward over cooler waters by Wednesday, ending its chances for tropical development. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Disturbance 3. Tropical Storm Erin is expected to strengthen and become a hurricane later this week in the Central Tropical Atlantic. Erin is currently located about 690 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands moving west at 22 MPH with 45 MPH maximum sustained winds.  There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.